{"id":33984,"date":"2026-09-24T05:25:24","date_gmt":"2026-09-24T08:25:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/miradouronoticias.com\/site\/?p=33984"},"modified":"2026-09-24T05:25:24","modified_gmt":"2026-09-24T08:25:24","slug":"estudo-preve-ate-133-mil-mortes-no-brasil-com-calor-do-super-el-nino","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/miradouronoticias.com\/site\/2026\/09\/24\/estudo-preve-ate-133-mil-mortes-no-brasil-com-calor-do-super-el-nino\/","title":{"rendered":"Estudo prev\u00ea at\u00e9 13,3 mil mortes no Brasil com calor do Super El Ni\u00f1o"},"content":{"rendered":"

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O calor extremo causado pelo Super El Ni\u00f1o pode provocar 13,3 mil mortes no Brasil, a maioria\u00a0nas regi\u00f5es Norte e Nordeste, de acordo com relat\u00f3rio do Laborat\u00f3rio de Impacto Clim\u00e1tico da Universidade de Chicago, divulgado nesta quarta-feira (23).<\/p>\n

O pa\u00eds deve ser o mais afetado na Am\u00e9rica Latina pelo fen\u00f4meno<\/strong>,\u00a0caracterizado pelo aquecimento fora do normal das \u00e1guas do Oceano Pac\u00edfico.<\/p>\n

>>\u00a0Sob El Ni\u00f1o, primavera deve ter calor, seca e tempestades severas<\/a><\/p>\n

Ao todo, s\u00e3o esperadas,\u00a0at\u00e9 fevereiro de 2027, 451 mil mortes no planeta com a ocorr\u00eancia mais intensa do El Ni\u00f1o nos \u00faltimos anos.<\/p>\n

“H\u00e1 muito tempo, conseguimos prever os impactos das temperaturas nas colheitas\u00a0e agora podemos prever o impacto no pior cen\u00e1rio poss\u00edvel: a morte”, afirma Michael Greenstone, cofundador do Laborat\u00f3rio de Impacto Clim\u00e1tico e professor na Universidade de Chicago.<\/p>\n

“Esse n\u00famero (…) inclui pais e filhos, av\u00f3s e vizinhos, pessoas que v\u00e3o trabalhar, cuidam de suas fam\u00edlias e vivem suas vidas\u201d, complementou o cientista norte-americano, ao alertar sobre a mortalidade.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Pela proje\u00e7\u00e3o dos cientistas, por causa do Super El Ni\u00f1o, que come\u00e7ou em junho de 2026,\u00a0os dias extremamente quentes devem quase dobrar at\u00e9 fevereiro de 2027<\/strong>, ficando pelo menos 1,2 grau Celsius (\u00baC)\u00a0acima do normal,\u00a0em compara\u00e7\u00e3o com anos anteriores, o que pode\u00a0se intensificar no ver\u00e3o.<\/p>\n

Sul global ser\u00e1 mais afetado<\/h2>\n

Segundo o relat\u00f3rio, as regi\u00f5es que tendem a ser as mais afetadas pelo Super El Ni\u00f1o est\u00e3o concentradas no Sul global.<\/p>\n

O Brasil est\u00e1 entre os cinco pa\u00edses com maior n\u00famero estimado de mortes, na quinta posi\u00e7\u00e3o do ranking, segundo o relat\u00f3rio.\u00a0O per\u00edodo mais cr\u00edtico no pa\u00eds deve ser o ver\u00e3o, entre dezembro de 2026 e fevereiro de 2027.<\/strong><\/p>\n

O levantamento chama aten\u00e7\u00e3o para estimativas mais altas de mortalidade no Norte e Nordeste, com destaque para o Par\u00e1, com a morte estimada de 2,3 mil pessoas, Maranh\u00e3o, com mais 1,3 mil, al\u00e9m de Amazonas e Bahia, com 1,2 mil cada.<\/p>\n

O pa\u00eds se prepara com\u00a0a instala\u00e7\u00e3o de bases do Minist\u00e9rio da Sa\u00fade, chamadas de For\u00e7a Nacional do Sistema \u00danico de Sa\u00fade<\/a>, que contam com equipamentos e pessoal para atuar durante emerg\u00eancias e desastres.<\/p>\n

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\"Rio<\/div>\n
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\u00a0Pessoas se protegem do sol no centro da cidade em dia de calor no Rio de Janeiro. Foto:\u00a0Fernando Fraz\u00e3o\/Ag\u00eancia Brasil<\/strong><\/h6>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

Na lista dos pa\u00edses em situa\u00e7\u00e3o mais cr\u00edtica, o Brasil \u00e9 antecedido por \u00cdndia, Sud\u00e3o, Indon\u00e9sia e Nig\u00e9ria.<\/p>\n

No continente americano, o pa\u00eds mais pr\u00f3ximo do Brasil s\u00e3o os Estados Unidos, com 3,5 mil mortes a mais do que em um ano normal. Venezuela, com 2,3 mil mortes adicionais, e Col\u00f4mbia, com 2,2 mil, tamb\u00e9m se destacam.<\/p>\n

No continente africano, o relat\u00f3rio projeta 67 mil mortes, sendo a maior parte de vidas a serem perdidas no Sahel, regi\u00e3o de transi\u00e7\u00e3o entre o Saara, ao norte, e as savanas, ao sul.<\/p>\n

Quase metade dessa estimativa de v\u00edtimas deve se concentrar na\u00a0Nig\u00e9ria. O pa\u00eds sofrer\u00e1 com 31,4 mil mortes, \u00e0 frente do Sud\u00e3o, que enfrentar\u00e1 17,5 mil mortes adicionais por calor, do N\u00edger, 10 mil, e do Chade, 8 mil.<\/p>\n

No sudeste asi\u00e1tico, Filipinas, Vietn\u00e3, Tail\u00e2ndia e Camboja podem chegar a 19,4 mil mortes acima do normal. E, na \u00cdndia, mais 15,8 mil.<\/p>\n

Amostra do futuro<\/h2>\n

Os n\u00fameros estimados podem aumentar ainda mais caso o El Ni\u00f1o se prolongue, analisam os pesquisadores. Eles afirmam que\u00a0o fen\u00f4meno \u00e9 uma amostra das temperaturas que ser\u00e3o mais comuns daqui para frente, uma esp\u00e9cie de “cart\u00e3o-postal do futuro”, do que o planeta se tornar\u00e1 com o avan\u00e7o das mudan\u00e7as clim\u00e1ticas<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Para diminuir a mortalidade, os especialistas recomendam esfor\u00e7os humanit\u00e1rios multilaterais em a\u00e7\u00f5es comprovadamente eficazes, como alertas de calor, instala\u00e7\u00e3o de centros de resfriamento e pontos de hidrata\u00e7\u00e3o, al\u00e9m de prote\u00e7\u00e3o da popula\u00e7\u00e3o mais vulner\u00e1vel e trabalhadores. As medidas devem ser iniciadas desde j\u00e1.<\/p>\n

\u201cAumentar a capacidade de resposta a emerg\u00eancias e direcionar melhor nossos esfor\u00e7os pode salvar muitas vidas este ano. Mas, daqui a 20 anos, quando as temperaturas extremas de hoje se tornarem a nova normalidade, n\u00e3o queremos estar em constante estado de emerg\u00eancia\u201d, disse Tamma Carleton, coautora do relat\u00f3rio.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Chefe de pesquisa do Laborat\u00f3rio de Impacto Clim\u00e1tico e professora assistente da Universidade da Calif\u00f3rnia, Berkeley, ela alerta:\u00a0\u201cPrecisamos mobilizar recursos agora para projetar, implementar e avaliar as ferramentas de prepara\u00e7\u00e3o e planejamento que salvar\u00e3o vidas nos pr\u00f3ximos anos.\u201d<\/p>\n

Para calcular os n\u00fameros de mortos, os pesquisadores utilizaram estudos anteriores que\u00a0relacionaram temperatura e mortalidade em diferentes regi\u00f5es, considerando na conta o clima local, vulnerabilidade da popula\u00e7\u00e3o e capacidade de adapta\u00e7\u00e3o de cada pa\u00eds e regi\u00e3o.<\/p>\n

By: miradouronoticias.com.br\/ ag\u00eancia Brasil<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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O calor extremo causado pelo Super El Ni\u00f1o pode provocar 13,3 mil mortes no Brasil, a maioria\u00a0nas regi\u00f5es Norte e Nordeste, de acordo com relat\u00f3rio do Laborat\u00f3rio de Impacto Clim\u00e1tico da Universidade de Chicago, divulgado nesta quarta-feira (23). O pa\u00eds deve ser o mais afetado na Am\u00e9rica Latina pelo fen\u00f4meno,\u00a0caracterizado pelo aquecimento fora do normal […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":33985,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,48],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-33984","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-destaque-principal","category-temporal"],"yoast_head":"\nEstudo prev\u00ea at\u00e9 13,3 mil mortes no Brasil com calor do Super El Ni\u00f1o - Miradouro Not\u00edcias<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/miradouronoticias.com\/site\/2026\/09\/24\/estudo-preve-ate-133-mil-mortes-no-brasil-com-calor-do-super-el-nino\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Estudo prev\u00ea at\u00e9 13,3 mil mortes no Brasil com calor do Super El Ni\u00f1o - Miradouro Not\u00edcias\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"O calor extremo causado pelo Super El Ni\u00f1o pode provocar 13,3 mil mortes no Brasil, a maioria\u00a0nas regi\u00f5es Norte e Nordeste, de acordo com relat\u00f3rio do Laborat\u00f3rio de Impacto Clim\u00e1tico da Universidade de Chicago, divulgado nesta quarta-feira (23). 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