{"id":27364,"date":"2025-02-10T12:08:15","date_gmt":"2025-02-10T15:08:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/miradouronoticias.com\/site\/?p=27364"},"modified":"2025-02-10T12:08:15","modified_gmt":"2025-02-10T15:08:15","slug":"mercado-projeta-inflacao-em-558-para-2025-pib-fica-em-203","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/miradouronoticias.com\/site\/2025\/02\/10\/mercado-projeta-inflacao-em-558-para-2025-pib-fica-em-203\/","title":{"rendered":"Mercado projeta infla\u00e7\u00e3o em 5,58% para 2025; PIB fica em 2,03%"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/p>\n

O mercado financeiro aumentou a proje\u00e7\u00e3o da infla\u00e7\u00e3o e do crescimento da economia para este ano. Segundo o Boletim Focus, divulgado nesta segunda-feira (10) pelo Banco Central, a infla\u00e7\u00e3o, medida pelo \u00cdndice Nacional de Pre\u00e7os ao Consumidor Amplo (IPCA), ficou em 5,58%, ante os 5,51% da semana passada.<\/p>\n

O boletim tamb\u00e9m trouxe nova redu\u00e7\u00e3o na proje\u00e7\u00e3o do Produto Interno Bruto (PIB) – a soma dos bens e servi\u00e7os produzidos no pa\u00eds, para 2025. Agora, os agentes do mercado financeiro projetam o crescimento de 2,03% para 2025, ante os 2,04%\u00a0da semana anterior.<\/p>\n

A pesquisa Focus \u00e9 feita com economistas do mercado financeiro e divulgada semanalmente pelo BC. Para 2026, o Focus mostra proje\u00e7\u00e3o de crescimento do PIB de 1,7%. J\u00e1 para 2027, a proje\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e9 de 1,96% e, em 2028, expans\u00e3o de 2% da economia.<\/p>\n

Em rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 infla\u00e7\u00e3o, o boletim projeta\u00a0\u00edndice de 4,3% para 2026, ante os 4,28, da semana passada. Para 2027, o mercado financeiro tem a proje\u00e7\u00e3o de IPCA de 3,9% e, de 3,78% em 2028.<\/p>\n

No ano passado, o IPCA, que leva em conta a varia\u00e7\u00e3o do custo de vida de fam\u00edlias com rendimento de at\u00e9 40 sal\u00e1rios m\u00ednimos, fechou o ano passado em 4,83%, acima do teto da meta, que era de 4,5%.<\/p>\n

Taxa de juros<\/h2>\n

Em rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 taxa b\u00e1sica de juros, a Selic, o Focus manteve a proje\u00e7\u00e3o da semana passada, de 15%, para 2025, a\u00a0mesma das \u00faltimas quatro semanas. Para 2026, a proje\u00e7\u00e3o do mercado financeiro \u00e9 que a Selic fique em 12,5%, tamb\u00e9m a mesma projetada na semana passada. Para 2027 e 2028, as proje\u00e7\u00f5es s\u00e3o de que a taxa fique em 10,5% e 10%, respectivamente.<\/p>\n

Para alcan\u00e7ar a meta de infla\u00e7\u00e3o, o Banco Central usa como principal instrumento a\u00a0taxa b\u00e1sica de juros<\/a>, a Selic, definida em 13,25% ao ano pelo Comit\u00ea de Pol\u00edtica Monet\u00e1ria (Copom).<\/p>\n

No final de janeiro, o colegiado aumentou a Selic em 1 ponto percentual, com a justificativa de que a decis\u00e3o \u00e9 compat\u00edvel com a estrat\u00e9gia de converg\u00eancia da infla\u00e7\u00e3o para o redor da meta.<\/p>\n

O Copom destacou que os pre\u00e7os dos alimentos se elevaram de forma significativa, em fun\u00e7\u00e3o, dentre outros fatores, da estiagem observada ao longo do ano passado e da eleva\u00e7\u00e3o de pre\u00e7os de carnes, tamb\u00e9m afetada pelo ciclo do boi.<\/p>\n

Com rela\u00e7\u00e3o aos bens industrializados, o comit\u00ea apontou que movimento recente de aumento do d\u00f3lar pressiona pre\u00e7os e margens, sugerindo maior aumento em tais componentes nos pr\u00f3ximos mes, o que tornou o cen\u00e1rio inflacion\u00e1rio mais adverso, demandando uma pol\u00edtica econ\u00f4mica contracionista.<\/p>\n

Ainda de acordo com o Copom, o cen\u00e1rio mais adverso para a converg\u00eancia da infla\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 meta para 2025, de 3%, com intervalo de toler\u00e2ncia de 1,5% a 4,5% pode demandar\u00a0aumento de 1 ponto percentual<\/a>\u00a0na Selic na pr\u00f3xima reuni\u00e3o do comit\u00ea nos dias 18 e 19 de mar\u00e7o.<\/p>\n

C\u00e2mbio<\/h2>\n

Em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao c\u00e2mbio, a previs\u00e3o de cota\u00e7\u00e3o do d\u00f3lar ficou em R$ 6,00 para 2025. Nesta segunda-feira a cota\u00e7\u00e3o da moeda est\u00e1 em R$ 5,75. No fim de 2026, a previs\u00e3o \u00e9 que a moeda norte-americana tamb\u00e9m fique em R$ 6,00. Para 2027, o c\u00e2mbio tamb\u00e9m deve ficar, segundo o Focus, em R$5,93 e para 2028, a proje\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e9 de R$ 5,99.<\/p>\n

By: miradouronoticias.com.br\/ ag\u00eancia Brasil<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

O mercado financeiro aumentou a proje\u00e7\u00e3o da infla\u00e7\u00e3o e do crescimento da economia para este ano. Segundo o Boletim Focus, divulgado nesta segunda-feira (10) pelo Banco Central, a infla\u00e7\u00e3o, medida pelo \u00cdndice Nacional de Pre\u00e7os ao Consumidor Amplo (IPCA), ficou em 5,58%, ante os 5,51% da semana passada. O boletim tamb\u00e9m trouxe nova redu\u00e7\u00e3o na […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":27365,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[19,1,29],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-27364","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cidade","category-destaque-principal","category-economia"],"yoast_head":"\nMercado projeta infla\u00e7\u00e3o em 5,58% para 2025; PIB fica em 2,03% - Miradouro Not\u00edcias<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/miradouronoticias.com\/site\/2025\/02\/10\/mercado-projeta-inflacao-em-558-para-2025-pib-fica-em-203\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Mercado projeta infla\u00e7\u00e3o em 5,58% para 2025; PIB fica em 2,03% - Miradouro Not\u00edcias\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"O mercado financeiro aumentou a proje\u00e7\u00e3o da infla\u00e7\u00e3o e do crescimento da economia para este ano. Segundo o Boletim Focus, divulgado nesta segunda-feira (10) pelo Banco Central, a infla\u00e7\u00e3o, medida pelo \u00cdndice Nacional de Pre\u00e7os ao Consumidor Amplo (IPCA), ficou em 5,58%, ante os 5,51% da semana passada. 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